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Trading With
DiNapoli
Levels
The Practical Application of Fibonacci Analysis to Investment Markets
Joe DiNapoli
Òîðãîâëÿ ñ èñïîëüçîâàíèåì
óðîâíåé ÄèÍàïîëè
Ïðàêòè÷åñêîå ïðèìåíåíèå àíàëèçà Ôèáîíà÷÷è íà èíâåñòèöèîííûõ ðûíêàõ
Äæî ÄèÍàïîëè
ÓÄÊ 33 ÁÁÊ 65.42 Ä44
Èçäàíèå îñóùåñòâëåíî ïðè ôèíàíñîâîì ñîäåéñòâèè
êîìïàíèè «ÎÔÈÍ Òðåéä»
Ìîñêâà, óë. Ñàäîâàÿ-Ñàìîòå÷íàÿ, ä. 24/27
ÌÎÑÝÍÊÀ ÏËÀÇÀ III 6 ýòàæ
Ïåðåâîä ñ àíãëèéñêîãî Øìàòîâ À.
Ðåäàêòîð ×åâòàåâà È.
Íàó÷íûé ðåäàêòîð ×åêóëàåâ Ì.
Âûïóñêàþùèé ðåäàêòîð Îñèïîâ Â.
Äæî ÄèÍàïîëè
Ä44 Òîðãîâëÿ ñ èñïîëüçîâàíèåì óðîâíåé ÄèÍàïîëè. — Ì.: ÈÊ Àíàëèòèêà, 2001.-332 ñ.
Copyright © 1998 Coast
Investment Software, Inc.
and Joe DiNapoli
© Ïåðåâîä íà ðóññêèé ÿçûê,
îôîðìëåíèå
ISBN 5-93855-010-6 «ÈÊ«Àíàëèòèêà», 2001
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| ÎÒ ÀÂÒÎÐÀ |
Ñîçäàíèå ýòîé êíèãè îêàçàëîñü íåëåãêîé çàäà÷åé. Íàïèñàòü åå áûëî áû íåâîçìîæíî áåç ïîìîùè ìíîãèõ ëþäåé. ß ãëóáîêî öåíþ èõ òðóä è áëàãîäàðþ çà îêàçàííîå ñîäåéñòâèå:
Ïýò Ïðè÷àðä (Pat Prichard) çà åå òåðïåíèå, óñåðäèå, ëþáîâü è ñèëó õàðàêòåðà. Ëè è Äåéâà Âèíôèëä (Lee and Dave Winfield) çà èõ âåëèêîäóøèå, òàëàíò è ïîòðà÷åííîå íà ìåíÿ âðåìÿ.
Ýëèñ Ïè÷÷èîòòè (Elyce Picciotti) è Ñòèâà Ðîóëà (Steve Roehl), âëàäåþùèõ ìíîãî÷èñëåííûìè òåõíè÷åñêèìè íàâûêàìè è ïîçâîëèâøèõ èìè âîñïîëüçîâàòüñÿ. Òèìà Ñëýéòåðà (Tim Slater), Íèëà Õüþçà (Neal Hughes) è Äàéýí Áåëàíæåð (Dian Belanger) çà áåñêîðûñòíûå ñîâåòû êàê óëó÷øèòü ýòîò ïðîåêò.
Ìîèõ çàìå÷àòåëüíûõ ñòóäåíòîâ è êëèåíòîâ çà òî, ÷òî âäîõíîâëÿëè ìåíÿ è ïîîùðÿëè ïðèñòóïèòü ê ýòîé ðàáîòå.
Äýíà, Õýíêà è Êàðëà, íàïîëíèâøèõ ýòè ñòðàíèöû æèçíüþ.
"Ýñïåí ãðàôèêå"™ (Aspen Graphics™) çà ðàçðåøåíèå âîñïðîèçâåñòè ãðàôèêè, ñîçäàííûå ñ ïîìîùüþ èõ ïðåâîñõîäíîãî ïðîãðàììíîãî îáåñïå÷åíèÿ.
Ìîèõ êîëëåã, ìíîãèå èç êîòîðûõ ïîæåëàëè îñòàòüñÿ íåíàçâàííûìè èëè êîãî ÿ ïðîñòî íå óïîìÿíóë. Ñïàñèáî çà òî, ÷òî âû ïîäåëèëèñü ñî ìíîé ñâîèìè çíàíèÿìè îòêðûòî è áåç êàêèõ-ëèáî óñëîâèé: Ëàððè Ïåñàâåíòî (Larry Pesavento), Äæåéê Áåðíøòýéí (Jake Bernstein), Áèëë Âèëëüÿìñ (Bill Williams), Ñòèâ Êîíëîí (Steve Conlon), ìåíåäæåð òîðãîâîãî çàëà ×èêàãñêîé áèðæè ïî ïðîçâèùó "Áîã", ÷üå èìÿ ÿ äàâíî çàáûë, íàêîíåö, ïîñëåäíèé â ñïèñêå, íî íå ïîñëåäíèé ïî çíà÷åíèþ Ðîáåðò Êðàóç (Robert Krausz).
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| ÑÎÄÅÐÆÀÍÈÅ |
Î ÍÀÇÂÀÍÈÈ ÝÒÎÉ ÊÍÈÃÈ:.......................................................................................................................... xvi
ÏÐÅÄÈÑËÎÂÈÅ......................................................................................................................... xvii
ÐÀÇÄÅË 1. ÂÂÅÄÅÍÈÅ............................................................................................ ã
ÃËÀÂÀ 1.
ÌÅÒÎÄÛ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ
ÀÍÀËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÅ È ÌÅÕÀÍÈ×ÅÑÊÈÅ ÒÎÐÃÎÂÛÅ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÛ
ÏÎÇÈÖÈÎÍÍÀß È ÂÍÓÒÐÈÄÍÅÂÍÀß ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß.................................................................................................................................. 3
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.................................................................................................................................. 3
ÎÖÅÍÊÀ ÑÈÒÓÀÖÈÈ:.................................................................................................................................. 4
ÌÅÕÀÍÈ×ÅÑÊÈÅ ÏÎÄÕÎÄÛ:.................................................................................................................................. 4
ÂÎÒ ÁÛËÎ ÁÛ ÇÄÎÐÎÂÎ............................................................................ 4
ÐÅÀËÜÍÎÑÒÜ................................................................................................ 4
À ×ÒÎ ÍÀÑ×ÅÒ ÀÍÀËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÕ ÏÎÄÕÎÄÎÂ?.................................................................................................................................. 6
ÂÎÒ ÁÛËÎ ÁÛ ÇÄÎÐÎÂÎ............................................................................ 6
ÐÅÀËÜÍÎÑÒÜ................................................................................................ 6
ÍÅÌÍÎÃÎ ÈÑÒÎÐÈÈ:................................................................................................................................. 7
1. ÃÅÐÎÈ: 8
2. ÎÒÊÀÇ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÛ: 8
3. Ó×ÅÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÎ: 9
ÀÍÀËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß:................................................................................................................................ 10
ÐÅÇÞÌÅ:............................................................................................................................... 13
ÎÑÎÁÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ ÒÅÕÍÈ×ÅÑÊÈÕ ÏÐÈÅÌÎÂ
ÀÍÀËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ: ............................................................... 13
ÎÑÎÁÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ ÒÅÕÍÈ×ÅÑÊÈÕ ÏÐÈÅÌÎÂ
ÌÅÕÀÍÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ:................................................................... 13
ÀÑÏÅÊÒÛ ÌÅÕÀÍÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ È ÀÍÀËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ: 14
ÏÎÇÈÖÈÎÍÍÀß ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß Â ÑÐÀÂÍÅÍÈÈ Ñ
ÂÍÓÒÐÈÄÍÅÂÍÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÅÉ................................................................................................................................ 15
ÍÅÄÎÑÒÀÒÊÈ ÂÍÓÒÐÈÄÍÅÂÍÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ............................................................................................................................... 16
ÏÐÅÈÌÓÙÅÑÒÂÀ ÂÍÓÒÐÈÄÍÅÂÍÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ............................................................................................................................... 16
ÀËÜÒÅÐÍÀÒÈÂÀ:................................................................................................................................ 17
V111
ÃËÀÂÀ 2.
ÏÐÅÄÏÎÑÛËÊÈ,
ÎÑÍÎÂÍÛÅ ÏÐÀÂÈËÀ È ÎÏÐÅÄÅËÅÍÈß................................................................................................................................ 19
ÒÐÅÍÄ:................................................................................................................................ 19
ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 25
ÄÂÈÆÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 25
ÍÅÑÏÎÑÎÁÍÎÑÒÜ:................................................................................................................................ 25
ÂÅÄÓÙÈÅ ÈÍÄÈÊÀÒÎÐÛ:................................................................................................................................ 27
ÎÒÑÒÀÞÙÈÅ ÈÍÄÈÊÀÒÎÐÛ:................................................................................................................................ 27
ÖÅËÈ ÐÀÇÓÌÍÎÉ ÏÐÈÁÛËÈ:................................................................................................................................ 29
ÂÐÅÌÅÍÍÀß ÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÀ:................................................................................................................................ 29
ÏÎÄÒÂÅÐÆÄÅÍÍÛÅ È ÍÅÏÎÄÒÂÅÐÆÄÅÍÍÛÅ:................................................................................................................................ 29
ÎØÈÁÊÀ:................................................................................................................................ 30
ÒÎÐÃÎÂÀÒÜ ÕÎÐÎØÎ:................................................................................................................................ 30
ÒÎÐÃÎÂÛÉ ÏËÀÍ:................................................................................................................................ 30
ÐÅÇÞÌÅ:................................................................................................................................ 30
ÃËÀÂÀ 3
ÍÅÎÁÕÎÄÈÌÛÅ ÊÎÌÏÎÍÅÍÒÛ
ÓÑÏÅØÍÎÉ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ................................................................................................................................ 31
1. ÓÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈÅ ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÎÌ È ÑÀÌÎÊÎÍÒÐÎËÜ 32
2. ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÀß ÌÅÕÀÍÈÊÀ: 33
3. ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÒÐÅÍÄÀ È ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈß 34
4. ÎÖÅÍÊÀ ÏÅÐÅÊÓÏËÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ È ÏÅÐÅÏÐÎÄÀÍÍÎÑÒÈ 34
5. ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÕÎÆÄÅÍÈß Â ÐÛÍÎÊ (ÂÅÄÓÙÈÅ ÈÍÄÈÊÀÒÎÐÛ) 34
6. ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÛÕÎÄÀ ÈÇ ÐÛÍÊÀ (ÂÅÄÓÙÈÅ ÈÍÄÈÊÀÒÎÐÛ) 34
ÂÀÆÍÛÅ ÏÐÈÌÅ×ÀÍÈß:................................................................................................................................ 34
ÐÀÇÄÅË 2. ÊÎÍÒÅÊÑÒ........................................................................................................ 35
ÃËÀÂÀ 4.
ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÒÐÅÍÄÀ
ÑÌÅÙÅÍÍÛÅ ÑÊÎËÜÇßÙÈÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÈÅ................................................................................................................................ 37
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 37
ÑÌÅÙÅÍÍÛÅ ÑÊÎËÜÇßÙÈÅ ÑÐÅÄÍÈÅ................................................................................................................................ 38
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:................................................................ 39
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:................................................................................................................................ 41
IX
ÃËÀÂÀ 5.
ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÒÐÅÍÄÀ
ÊÎÌÁÈÍÀÖÈß MACD/STOCHASTIC................................................................................................................................ 51
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 51
ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌÛ, ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌÈÑÒÛ È ÏÐÎÁËÅÌÛ:................................................................................................................................ 51
ÏÎÆÀËÓÉÑÒÀ, ÂÑÒÀÍÜÒÅ! ÏÐÀÂÈËÜÍÛÉ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ:................................................................................................................................ 52
ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ ËÝÉÍÀ (ÑÛÐÎÉ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ):................................................................................................................................ 52
ÁÛÑÒÐÛÅ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊÈ: ................................................................................................................................ 53
ÌÅÄËÅÍÍÛÅ (ÏÐÅÄÏÎ×ÒÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ) ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊÈ:................................................................................................................................ 54
ÌÎÄÈÔÈÖÈÐÎÂÀÍÍÀß ÑÊÎËÜÇßÙÀß ÑÐÅÄÍßß (MAV):................................................................................................................................ 54
ÌÎÄÈÔÈÖÈÐÎÂÀÍÍÛÉ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ:................................................................................................................................ 55
ÍÀÑÒÎßÙÈÉ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ:................................................................................................................................ 55
ÏÐÅÄÏÎ×ÒÈÒÅËÜÍÛÉ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ:................................................................................................................................ 55
ÁÀÐÛ, ÂÛÐÀÂÍÈÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÏÎ ÐÛÍÊÓ, È ÁÀÐÛ,
ÂÛÐÀÂÍÈÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÏÎ ÂÐÅÌÅÍÈ:................................................................................................................................ 56
ÂÛÁÎÐÊÀ ÄÀÍÍÛÕ:................................................................................................................................ 57
ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌÈÑÒÛ È ÎÁÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 57
ÈÑÏÎËÜÇÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊÀ................................................................................................................................ 59
ÊÎÌÁÈÍÀÖÈß MACD (DEMA) ÑÎ ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊÎÌ: ................................................................................................................................ 59
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:................................................................................................................................ 67
ÐÅÇÞÌÅ:................................................................................................................................ 69
ÃËÀÂÀ 6.
ÈÍÄÈÊÀÒÎÐÛ ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈß.......................................................................................................... 71
ÌÎÙÍÛÕ ÌÎÄÅËÅÉ, ÑÎÇÄÀÞÙÈÕ
ÝÔÔÅÊÒÈÂÍÛÅ ÒÎÐÃÎÂÛÅ ÑÈÃÍÀËÛ................................................................................................................................ 71
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:................................................................................................................................ 71
"ÑÈÃÍÀË ÄÂÎÉÍÎÃÎ ÏÅÐÅÑÅ×ÅÍÈß" ÈËÈ ÊÎÐÎÒÊÎ - "ÄÂÎÉÍÎÅ ÐÅÏÎ" ... 72
ÂÀÆÍÛÅ ÏÐÈÌÅ×ÀÍÈß:................................................................................................................................ 74
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:................................................................................................................................ 76
"ÍÅÑÎÑÒÎßÂØÅÅÑß ÄÂÎÉÍÎÅ ÐÅÏÎ":................................................................................................................................ 86
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:................................................................................................................................ 87
ÑÈÃÍÀË "ÅÄÈÍÈ×ÍÎÃÎ ÏÅÐÅÑÅ×ÅÍÈß" ÈËÈ "ÕËÅÁ Ñ ÌÀÑËÎÌ":................................................................................................................................ 90
ÍÅÑÎÑÒÎßÂØÈÅÑß ÌÎÄÅËÈ:................................................................................................................................ 94
ÍÅÑÎÑÒÎßÂØÀßÑß "ÃÎËÎÂÀ È ÏËÅ×È":................................................................................................................................ 94
"ÍÅÑÎÑÒÎßÂØÈÉÑß ÏÐÎÐÛ ÒÐÅÓÃÎËÜÍÈÊÀ" ÈËÈ "ÎÎÏÑ":................................................................................................................................ 97
"ÓÃÀÑÀÞÙÀß ÏÎÏÓËßÐÍÎÑÒÜ" ÈËÈ "ÐÀÄÎÑÒÜ ÑÒÅÐÂßÒÍÈÊÎÂ":................................................................................................................................ 98
"ÐÅËÜÑÛ":................................................................................................................................ 98
"ÄÂÎÉÍÈÊÈ":.............................................................................................................................. 105
"ÐÀÑÒßÆÊÀ":.............................................................................................................................. 105
"ÔÈÁ-ÏÐÈÑÅÄÀÞÙÈÉ": .............................................................................................................................. 105
ÔÈËÜÒÐÎÂÀÍÈÅ "ÔÈÁ-ÏÐÈÑÅÄÀÞÙÅÃÎ":.............................................................................................................................. 108
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:.............................................................................................................................. 109
õ
ÃËÀÂÀ 7
ÎÑÖÈËËßÒÎÐÛ ÏÅÐÅÊÓÏËÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ È ÏÅÐÅÏÐÎÄÀÍÍÎÑÒÈ -
×ÒÎ ÐÀÁÎÒÀÅÒ È ÍÅ ÐÀÁÎÒÀÅÒ, È ÏÎ×ÅÌÓ........................................................................................................ 111
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 111
ÑÒÎÕÀÑÒÈÊ:.............................................................................................................................. 112
MACD:.............................................................................................................................. 113
ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÎÒÍÎÑÈÒÅËÜÍÎÉ ÑÈËÛ (RSI):.............................................................................................................................. 113
ÈÍÄÅÊÑ ÒÎÂÀÐÍÎÃÎ ÊÀÍÀËÀ (CCI):.............................................................................................................................. 114
ÎÑÖÈËËßÒÎÐ ÁÅÑÒÐÅÍÄÎÂÎÑÒÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 115
ÈÑÏÎËÜÇÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÎÑÖÈËËßÒÎÐÀ ÁÅÑÒÐÅÍÄÎÂÎÑÒÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 116
ÏÐÎÐÛÂ ÂÎËÀÒÈËÜÍÎÑÒÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 121
ÂÀÆÍÛÅ ÏÐÈÌÅ×ÀÍÈß:.............................................................................................................................. 124
ÎÑÖÈËËßÒÎÐ-ÏÐÅÄÑÊÀÇÀÒÅËÜ™:.............................................................................................................................. 127
ÐÅÇÞÌÅ.............................................................................................................................. 128
ÐÀÇÄÅË 3. ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÄÈÍÀÏÎËÈ.......................................................................................... 129
ÃËÀÂÀ 8.
ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÔÈÁÎÍÀ××È, ÎÑÍÎÂÛ........................................................................................................ 131
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 131
ÍÅÌÍÎÃÎ ÈÑÒÎÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 132
ÏÐÎÈÑÕÎÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 133
ÀÔÈØÀ: .............................................................................................................................. 135
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:.............................................................................................................................. 142
ÃËÀÂÀ 9.
ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÄÈÍÀÏÎËÈ™............................................ 143
ÂÂÅÄÅÍÈÅ è ÏÐÅÄÎÑÒÅÐÅÆÅÍÈß:.............................................................................................................................. 143
ÏÐÈÍÖÈÏ ÂÎËÍ ÝËËÈÎÒÒÀ:.............................................................................................................................. 144
ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÄÈÍÀÏÎËÈ™:.............................................................................................................................. 144
ÎÏÐÅÄÅËÅÍÈß:........................................................................................ 145
ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÛÉ ÐÀÇÌÀÕ:..................................................................... 145
ÍÎÌÅÐ èëè ÒÎ×ÊÀ ÐÅÀÊÖÈÈ: ..................................................... 145
ÔÎÊÓÑÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ:........................................................................ 146
ÔÈÁ-ÓÇÅË èëè ÓÇÅË:................................................................... 146
ÖÅËÅÂÀß ÒÎ×ÊÀ:............................................................................ 146
ÑÊÎÏËÅÍÈÅ:.................................................................................... 146
ÌÀÐÊÈÐÎÂÊÈ ÏÐÎÈÑÕÎÆÄÅÍÈß:.............................................. 147
ÖÅÏÜ ÐÀÇÓÌÍÎÉ ÏÐÈÁÛËÈ:........................................................ 147
ÑÎÃËÀÑÈÅ:....................................................................................... 147
ÑÅÐÈß ÔÈÁÎÍÀ××È:...................................................................... 148
xi
ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÄÈÍÀÏÎËÈ™ èëè D-ÓÐÎÂÍÈ™:.................................... 148
ÏÐÈÌÅÐÛ:........................................................................................ 149
ÂÀÆÍÛÅ ÏÐÈÌÅ×ÀÍÈß:.............................................................................................................................. 156
ÏÐÎÏÎÐÖÈÎÍÀËÜÍÎ-ÐÀÇÌÅÒÎ×ÍÛÉ ÖÈÐÊÓËÜ:.............................................................................................................................. 157
ÃËÀÂÀ 10.
ÓÐÎÂÍÈ ÄÈÍÀÏÎËÈ™............................................ 159
ÌÍÎÆÅÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÅ ÔÎÊÓÑÍÛÅ ×ÈÑËÀ è ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÛÅ ÐÀÇÌÀÕÈ.............................................................................................................................. 159
ÌÍÎÆÅÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÅ ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÛÅ ÐÀÇÌÀÕÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 162
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 165
ÁÎËÜØÅ ÔÎÊÓÑÍÛÕ ×ÈÑÅË:.............................................................................................................................. 165
ÂÎÇÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÅ ÂÐÅÌÅÍÍÎÉ ÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÛ ÍÀ ÔÎÊÓÑÍÎÅ ×ÈÑËÎ:.............................................................................................................................. 169
ÌÅÍÜØÅ - ÝÒÎ ÁÎËÜØÅ.............................................................................................................................. 170
ÑÎÊÐÀÙÅÍÈÅ ÐßÄΠÔÈÁÎÍÀ××È:.................................................... 170
ÃËÀÂÀ 11.
ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß Ñ ÈÑÏÎËÜÇÎÂÀÍÈÅÌ Óðîâíåé Äèíàïîëè™ ... 173
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 173
ÏÅÐÅÌÅÙÅÍÈÅ ÂÐÅÌÅÍÍÎÉ ÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÛ.............................................................................................................................. 173
ÈÄÅÀËÈÇÈÐÎÂÀÍÍÛÉ ÏÐÈÌÅÐ ÒÎÐÃÎÂËÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 176
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 179
ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÐÀÑØÈÐÅÍÈß D-óðîâíåé™ è LPO:.............................................................................................................................. 179
ÁÎËÜØÅ Î ÐÀÇÌÅÙÅÍÈÈ ÑÒÎÏÎÂ:.............................................................................................................................. 184
ÏÐÅÇÅÍÒÀÖÈß:.............................................................................................................................. 188
ÐÀÑÏÅ×ÀÒÊÈ FIBNODES™:.............................................................................................................................. 189
ÏÐÈ ÌÅÐ Ñ ÄÎÓ-ÄÆÎÍÑÎÌ:.............................................................................................................................. 192
ÐÀÑÏÅ×ÀÒÊÈ ÖÅËÅÉ FIBNODES™:.............................................................................................................................. 194
ÑÎÃËÀÑÈÅ ÏÎ ÁÎÍÄÀÌ ÍÀ ÏÅÐÅÕÎÄßÙÈÕ ÄÀÍÍÛÕ:.............................................................................................................................. 195
ÑÊÐÛÒÛÅ D-óðîâíè™:.............................................................................................................................. 197
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 201
ÈÑÏÎËÜÇÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÀÍÀËÈÇÀ ÔÈÁÎÍÀ××È ÄËß ÎÏÐÅÄÅËÅÍÈß
ÄÂÈÆÅÍÈß ÐÛÍÊÀ:.............................................................................................................................. 203
ÃËÀÂÀ 12.
ÑÂÎÄÈÌ ÂÑÅ ÂÌÅÑÒÅ........................................................................................................ 205
ÁÀÇÎÂÛÉ ÏÐÈÌÅÐ............................................................................................................................. 205
ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ 1:.............................................................................................................................. 207
ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ 2:.............................................................................................................................. 210
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 211
ÒÅÏÅÐÜ ÂÅÐÍÅÌÑß Ê ÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÒÅËÜÍÎÑÒÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 215
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:.............................................................................................................................. 215
XII
ÃËÀÂÀ 13.
ÒÀÊÒÈÊÀ ÔÈÁÎÍÀ××È........................................................................................................ 217
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 217
"ÁÎÍÑÀÉ": ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÕÎÄÀ È ÐÀÇÌÅÙÅÍÈß ÑÒÎÏÎÂ.............................................................................................................................. 219
"ÊÓÑÒÛ": ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÕÎÄÀ È ÐÀÇÌÅÙÅÍÈß ÑÒÎÏÎÂ.............................................................................................................................. 221
"ÑÀÏÅÐ À": ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÕÎÄÀ È ÐÀÇÌÅÙÅÍÈß ÑÒÎÏÎÂ.............................................................................................................................. 222
"ÑÀÏÅÐ Â": ÒÅÕÍÈÊÀ ÂÕÎÄÀ È ÐÀÇÌÅÙÅÍÈß ÑÒÎÏÎÂ.............................................................................................................................. 227
ÈÑÏÎËÜÇÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÒÀÊÒÈÊ ÂÕÎÄÀ ÏÎ ×ÀÑÎÂÎÌÓ ÃÐÀÔÈÊÓ S&P:.............................................................................................................................. 228
ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß ÏÐÎÄÎËÆÀÅÒÑß (Ðèñóíîê 13-11):.............................................................................................................................. 231
"ÑÒÈÐÊÀ È ÏÎËÎÑÊÀÍÈÅ": ÓÊÐÅÏËÅÍÈÅ ÓÂÅÐÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ.............................................................................................................................. 234
×ÀÑÒÎ ÇÀÄÀÂÀÅÌÛÅ ÂÎÏÐÎÑÛ:.............................................................................................................................. 235
ÃËÀÂÀ 14.
ÓÊËÎÍÅÍÈÅ ÎÒ ÒÈÏÈ×ÍÎÉ ÎØÈÁÊÈ........................................................................................................ 237
ÏÐÈÌÅÐ Ñ ÃÎÄÎÂÛÌÈ ÁÎÍÄÀÌÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 237
ÁÎËÅÅ ØÈÐÎÊÈÉ ÂÇÃËßÄ:.............................................................................................................................. 242
ÂÎÏÐÎÑ.............................................................................................................................. 246
ÃËÀÂÀ 15.
ÅÙÅ ÍÅÑÊÎËÜÊÎ ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÛÕ ÏÐÈÌÅÐÎÂ........................................................................................................ 247
ÄÎËÃÎÑÐÎ×ÍÀß ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß ÑÎÅÂÎÉ ÌÓÊÎÉ:.............................................................................................................................. 247
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 247
ÊÎÍÒÅÊÑÒ:.............................................................................................................................. 247
ÂÛÏÎËÍÅÍÈÅ ÑÄÅËÊÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 249
ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß ÏÐÎÄÎËÆÀÅÒÑß:.............................................................................................................................. 254
ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß ÏÐÎÄÎËÆÀÅÒÑß:.............................................................................................................................. 258
ÂÀÆÍÛÅ ÏÐÈÌÅ×ÀÍÈß:.............................................................................................................................. 260
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 260
ÁÛËÀ ËÈ ÄÎÏÓÙÅÍÀ ÎØÈÁÊÀ?.............................................................................................................................. 261
ÅÙÅ Î ËÅÃÊÎÉ ÆÀÒÂÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 261
ÊÐÀÒÊÎÑÐÎ×ÍÀß ÒÎÐÃÎÂËß S&P:.............................................................................................................................. 262
ÎÁÙÅÅ ÎÁÑÓÆÄÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 262
ÒÐÅÍÄ:.............................................................................................................................. 262
ÀÍÀËÈÇ ÏÅÐÅÊÓÏËÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ È ÏÅÐÅÏÐÎÄÀÍÍÎÑÒÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 264
ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈÅ:.............................................................................................................................. 264
ÎÑÓÙÅÑÒÂËÅÍÈÅ ÑÄÅËÊÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 265
ÏÑÈÕÎËÎÃÈß ÑÄÅËÊÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 267
ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÀß ÌÅÕÀÍÈÊÀ:.............................................................................................................................. 268
ÄÎÏÎËÍÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÊÎÌÌÅÍÒÀÐÈÈ:.............................................................................................................................. 271
ÝÏÈËÎÃ........................................................................................................................ 273
Õ111
ÏÐÈËÎÆÅÍÈÅ....................................................................................................... 275
ÏÐÈËÎÆÅÍÈÅ À
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Ïðîñìîòðîâ 839 |
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